Yli 220 miljoonan dollarin arvoinen bitcoin on siirtynyt niin sanotun Satoshi-aikakauden aikana louhituista lohkoista, joissa lippulaiva-kryptovaluutan salaniminen luoja oli edelleen aktiivinen yhteisössä viimeisten 10 kuukauden aikana.

Satoshi Nakamoto oli julkisesti aktiivinen yhteisössä joulukuuhun 2010 asti

Kolikot on kaikki siirretty aiemmin käyttämättömistä lohkopalkkioista kaivosmieheltä, joka oli aktiivinen tuolloin. Satoshi Nakamoto oli julkisesti aktiivinen yhteisössä joulukuuhun 2010 asti, jolloin he kadonnivat salaperäisesti.

Bitcoin.comin mukaan liikkeet havaittiin useiden valvontatyökalujen avulla. Lepotilassa olevat BTC-lohkopalkinnot siirrettiin konsolidoitumaan osoitteeseen, jossa oli 1000 BTC: tä, ennen kuin ne jaettiin useisiin kuluihin muihin osoitteisiin.

Salaperäinen kaivosmies vietti myös BCH: n, joka pudotettiin osoitteisiin Bitcoin Cash -haarukan aikaan, mutta ei käyttänyt vastaavaa Bitcoin SV: tä BSV: n luoneen Bitcoin Cash -haarukan aikaan.

Bitcoin.com on lainannut blockchain-tutkimusta Issak Shvarts sanoneen, että osa rahastoista on nyt Coinbase-salauspörssin omistuksessa, mikä tarkoittaisi, että varhainen Bitcoin Pro-kaivosmyyjä myy nyt varojaan.

Uskotaan, että yksi liike on liikkeiden takana, koska nämä ovat noudattaneet samanlaista mallia viimeisten 10 kuukauden aikana. CryptoGlobe raportoi Satoshi-aikakauden bitcoin-liikkeistä useammin kuin kerran, kun ne ovat hitaasti liikkuneet.

Yhteensä yhteisö on siirtänyt yli 7000 bitcoinia

Yhteensä yhteisö on siirtänyt yli 7000 bitcoinia viimeisen 10 kuukauden aikana. Vaikka on epäselvää, mihin suurin osa varoista siirrettiin, 9,99 BTC lahjoitettiin Free Software Foundationille (FSF), kun taas toinen 9, 99 meni American Institute for Economic Research (AIER): lle.

Usein arvioidaan, että kolikot, jotka ovat olleet käyttämättömiä niin kauan, ovat saattaneet kadota ikuisesti, koska käyttäjät ovat saattaneet menettää niitä hallitsevien osoitteiden yksityiset avaimet. Nämä liikkeet näyttävät osoittavan, että jotkut ovat vain kiinni kolikoistaan.

On epäselvää, kuinka monta kolikkoa pidetään ja kuinka monta menetettiin. Aiemmin tässä kuussa ketjuanalyysiyritys Glassnode paljasti, että 1,78 miljoonaa BTC: tä ei koskaan jättänyt kaivososoitettaan ja että 94% näistä varoista on ollut lepotilassa vuosikymmenen ajan.

The Bitcoin whale cluster shows $23,409 as a key support area, which means the ongoing rally has a strong base.

Bitcoin Whale Clusters (BTC) show that the $23,409 level has become a focus area for large traders. This indicates that the ongoing bullish run is driven by whales that continue to accumulate more than $23,000.

Whale clusters are formed when whales buy Bitcoin and do not move their BTC holdings from the purchase price. Clusters are useful for determining Bitcoin support levels especially when the market moves fast.

„Support must not be less than US$ 23,409“.

According to analysts at Whalemap, a data analysis company that tracks Bitcoin whale activity, BTC has formed a strong floor in the $23,000 to $23,500 range. They said:

„Surprisingly, large amounts of losses were flowing into the chain at prices of 19,000. When this happens in bullish conditions, BTC gives us great highs (10k -> 20k last time). We have several strong supports at recent prices too … It shouldn’t be less than US$ 23,409“.

It is important for Bitcoin to establish solid support areas during a bull ride due to the risk of sudden corrections. If whale clusters are present at high price levels, such as $23,409, then whales will probably bid a little higher and maintain Bitcoin’s momentum.

Peter Brandt, a long time trader, identified the Bitcoin satellite line that dates back to October as a key area to be observed.

The line indicates $24,000 as the critical support area, which would mean that BTC needs to stay above it to avoid a big drop. Brandt wrote:

„Bitcoin is advancing in parabolic movement since the September 20 low. I hope this curve will be breached at some point, but will not produce an 80% decline. The green curve is a larger parabolic advance than the December 2018 and March 2020 lows. This is the engine of the rising market. ”

In the short term, the whale groups and the parabolic trend line show that US$ 23,409 and US$ 24,000 are the two key levels that Bitcoin should maintain.

Below $24,000, the chances of an accelerated correction increase, which may get worse if the whale cluster support areas are violated.

Where is the top of Bitcoin?

Traders generally believe that Bitcoin can rise to two levels: $30,000 and $36,000. The latter has become a popular short-term forecast because the options market indicates a high probability of $36,000 being hit in the coming months. Of course, the first is a fundamental psychological level.

A trader’s alias known as „General Byzantine“ said he predicts Bitcoin to reach $30,000. He explained that $30,000 is the level of „gold ratio extension“ and also has sales orders at Coinbase and Bitfinex. He said:

„I think this rally ends midway around 30k. It’s the extension of the golden ratio. It also happened to be where CB & Finex got fat questions out there“.

On December 27, the Cointelegraph reported that Bitcoin immediately saw great volatility, losing 6.5% in a matter of hours after the price reached $28,200 on the major exchanges. Given that the resistance areas with large sales order scanning face large setbacks, the $30,000 area may represent a major short-term obstacle for Bitcoin.

Harkintavaihe digitaalisen euron menemiseksi pitkälle vuoteen 2021, EKP: n johtaja sanoo

Digitaalisen euron käyttöönottoa koskeva päätös voi olla vielä pitkä aika.

Euroopan finanssiviranomaiset voivat laatia digitaalisen euron tutkintasuunnitelman jo ensi vuonna Euroopan keskuspankin johtajan mukaan.

Holger Neuhaus, EKP: n markkinainnovaatio- ja integraatiodivisioonan päällikkö, liittyi Singaporen FinTech Festival 2020: een 7. joulukuuta keskustelemaan keskuspankin Bitcoin Evolution digitaalisten valuuttojen eli CBDC: n globaalista kehityksestä.

Verkkokeskustelun aikana Neuhaus väitti, että EKP odottaa Euroopan finanssiviranomaisten arvioivan digitaalisen euroaloitteen käynnistämistä vuoden 2021 puoliväliin mennessä:

”Vuoden 2021 puolivälissä eurojärjestelmä harkitsee digitaalisen europrojektin käynnistämistä. Mutta vain korostettavaksi, se olisi tutkintavaihe, ei päätös, joka olisi vielä pantava täytäntöön. Se antaisi pohjimmiltaan meille mahdollisuuden laatia […] itse asiassa suunnitelma, ja mikä voisi olla digitaalinen euro, miltä se voisi näyttää, miten se voitaisiin panna täytäntöön, jos ja kun poliittinen päätös tehdään. „

Neuhaus korosti, että digitaalinen euro täydentäisi, ei korvaisi käteistä tai keskuspankkien tukkutalletuksia

Hän totesi myös, että keskuspankin digitaalinen raha asettaa suuria haasteita CBDC: n ulkomailla käytettäessä, erityisesti pääomavirran hallinnan ja suhteellisen palkkakysymyksen suhteen.

„Siellä siitä tulee vaikeaa, ja siellä meidän jätettiin miettimään, miten sitä voidaan rajoittaa – kovilla rajoilla, kannustinjärjestelmillä tai millä tahansa“, Neuhaus ehdotti.

Eurooppalaisten CBDC-maiden osalta Neuhaus pani merkille EKP: n julkisen kuulemisen mahdollisesta digitaalisesta eurosta. Lokakuun 2020 puolivälissä julkaistun kuulemisen tarkoituksena on kerätä palautetta julkisilta ja yksityisiltä sidosryhmiltä arvioidakseen, tarvitseeko Eurooppa digitaalista euroa.

Marraskuussa 2020 EKP: n presidentti Christine Lagarde kehotti pankkia tekemään päätöksen digitaalisen euron vapauttamisesta tammikuussa 2021.

According to Glassnode CTO 10X, Bitcoin price will be based on the current price

Rafael Schultze-Kraft of Glassnode has shared several on-chain metrics which, in his opinion, indicate that the Bitcoin price will comfortably reach six-digit price thresholds in the future.

The CTO of data aggregator Glassnode, Rafael Schultze-Kraft, has described a number of Bitcoin market indicators also the Bitcoin Future App as „insanely bullish“ and predicted that the Bitcoin price will increase by more than ten times.

On 9 December, Schultze-Kraft tweeted a thread that provides the basis for his ultra-optimistic prediction. In it he presents six „of the most important on-chain market indicators, which are currently hovering at the same level as at the beginning of 2017“.

1/ Where are we in the #Bitcoin market cycle?

A look at some of the most important on-chain market indicators.

TLDR: Insanely bullish, most metrics are far from the top. If things develop anything like 2017, we could see more than 10x $BTC from here.

A THREAD 👇 pic.twitter.com/d1jU0h5fxA

– Rafael Schultze-Kraft (@n3ocortex) December 8, 2020

5 out of 6 indicators see the Bitcoin price at $200,000

Any of Schultze-Kraft’s predictions (or estimates) see the Bitcoin price entering the six-digit range, with all metrics suggesting that the price per BTC will exceed $200,000.

For each of the indicators, Schultze-Kraft has measured the gains that have occurred as the metric has moved from a similar position in 2017 to an all-time high later this year. He then multiplied the current Bitcoin price by the same percentage increase.

Schultze-Kraft noted that Bitcoin’s Net Unrealised Profit/Loss, or NUPL, has climbed back to 78% of 2017 ATH. The NUPL is „the difference between unrealised gains and losses based on the point in time when the coins last moved along the chain“. The Bitcoin price, when it was at the same level according to the NUPL, rose 1,400% to its peak. If the scenario were to repeat to a similar extent, Kraft estimates that the Bitcoin price could reach $286,000 in this cycle.

Bitcoin price in the context of NUPL

BTC’s market cap to thermocap ratio is currently only a quarter of the 2017 high. Thermocap assesses Bitcoin’s price premium in relation to Miner’s expenditure. In 2017, the Bitcoin price rose 625% as the ratio rose to an all-time high, indicating that the Bitcoin price could reach the $138,000 mark in the future.

Dominate them all – Governments take a dim view of the rise of digital assets. After Christine Lagarde last week , it is the turn of the G7 finance ministers to highlight the dangers linked to an unregulated digital asset market.

„A wolf in disguise … remains a wolf“

The Diem Dollar , formerly Libra, is at the heart of all concerns. Indeed, Facebook, with its hundreds of millions of users, has the capacity to quickly establish itself as a key financial player . If this were to happen, G7 members could lose their grip on the current monetary system.

This is why the German finance minister cracked a scathing statement on the Diem Dollar during a G7 videoconference :

“A wolf disguised as a sheep remains a wolf. It is clear to me that Germany and Europe cannot and will not accept its entry [the Diem Dollar] into the market, as long as regulatory risks are not sufficiently taken into account. We must do all we can to keep the monetary monopoly in the hands of states. “

Olaf Scholz, German Minister of Finance

In an official press release , the G7 finance ministers affirmed their common desire to put in place regulations for crypto-assets . The aim of this legislation would be to prevent malicious uses of digital assets. In short, nothing really new.

These discussions echo once again the rumor of a US regulation regarding crypto-asset portfolios. At the moment, we have no concrete information on the subject, except for recent statements by Brian Brooks , the Comptroller of the United States.

Nie każdego dnia inwestorzy Bitcoinu dostają przypomnienie, jak szybko krypto-aset wzrósł na przestrzeni lat i jego potencjał do powielania tak ogromny wzrost w przyszłości.

1 dolar wartości Bitcoin w 2016 roku był 65 dolarów

Allen Walton z Spyguy.com niedawno podzielił się jedną z takich historii na jego uchwycie Twittera, ujawniając, jak 1 dolar wartości Bitcoin otrzymał kiedyś w 2016 roku był teraz warty około 65 dolarów. Bitcoin o wartości 1$ w lutym 2015 roku był wart około 0.003696 BTC, z Bitcoinem w cenie około 249$ za monetę w tym dniu.

Kwota ta została zaksięgowana w celu zakończenia procesu weryfikacji bankowej w Coinbase w tym czasie i stanowi około 65x wzrost ceny Bitcoin od tego czasu do dnia dzisiejszego. Bitcoin handlował po cenie 15950 dolarów w czasie pisania, z limitem rynkowym w wysokości 295 miliardów dolarów.

W końcu trafił na moje konto w Coinbase. Zabawna historia – mój brat powiedział mi, żebym się do niej dostał w 2014 roku. Otworzyłem konto i musiało ono zweryfikować mój bank – dawało mi 1$ po zweryfikowaniu. Potem o tym zapomniałem. Teraz jest warte 65 dolarów.

Choć większa inwestycja byłaby dziś z pewnością warta więcej, historia Waltera nasuwa pytanie, czy giełdy krypto walutowe typu „tier-one“, takie jak Coinbase, są dobrą alternatywą dla inwestorów do przechowywania swoich długoterminowych pakietów Bitcoinów.

Czy CEX-y takie jak Coinbase są bezpieczne dla długoterminowego przechowywania?

Według Waltona, który najwyraźniej chce wrócić do Bitcoinów po wielu latach, główną trudnością, przed jaką stanął, aby odzyskać dostęp do starego konta w Coinbase, było „piekło obsługi klienta“. Ale odzyskał dostęp do konta po przejściu kontroli nad giełdą.

Z drugiej strony, wielu posiadaczy kryptotek straciło fundusze warte miliony dolarów tylko dlatego, że zdecydowali się na samodzielne przechowywanie swoich aktywów i stracili klucze prywatne z różnych powodów. Warto również zauważyć, że wiele giełd walut kryptograficznych, takich jak QuadrigaCX, Cryptopia, a ostatnio także KuCoin, doświadczyło w tym samym okresie sytuacji, które zagroziły funduszom użytkowników.

Podsumowując, wydaje się, że poziom doświadczenia użytkownika (początkującego) z Bitcoinem oznacza, że giełdy krypto walutowe typu tier-one oferują pewien stopień ochrony, na wszelki wypadek, gdyby zapomniał o swoich inwestycjach i musiał wrócić do nich w przyszłości po wypłatę 65 dolarów.

Ethereum’s long-awaited upgrade promises to solve network problems and enable new developments. But what about ETH?

According to the developers of Ethereum 2.0, the Spadina testing network is probably the last chance for potential Ether stakers (ETH) to test the depot and release tools before generating Phase 0.

The testing has been very successful, as no major problems were found in the depot process and the client was able to successfully handle the blocks.

Phase 0 should not affect the Ethereum ecosystem immediately. Ethereum 2.0 is being developed to improve the „simplification, resilience, longevity, security and decentralisation“ of the Ethereum protocol. Its implementation is planned in several stages and phases. But what will be the impact of this upgrade on the ecosystem and the value of ETH?

What is Ethereum 2.0?

As the name suggests, Ethereum 2.0 is the second iteration presented to the Ethereum network and protocol – and given how it is linked to the world’s second largest cryptomoeda by market capitalization, it is crucial that the launch occurs smoothly.

One major difference we will see in the launch of Ethereum 2.0 is a departure from Proof of-Work (POW), a consensus mechanism that it also uses as Bitcoin. In Ethereum 2.0, mining will be a thing of the past as the focus shifts to Proof-of-Stake (POS), or proof of participation. We analysed the economic impact of this change in a previous article.

The validation of transactions will no longer depend on computing power – and advocates believe that the upgrade will ultimately make Ethereum 2.0 much safer. Another major improvement could be an improvement in energy efficiency, especially since there are growing concerns about how much electricity is consumed to maintain a blockchain network, especially that of the Ethereum and Bitcoin, which are the dominant ones.

However, Ethereum 1.0 is here to stay – forever and will not be discarded as imagined. The reason is that Ethereum 2.0 simply serves as a natural transition from Ethereum 1.0.

Ethereum 1.0 is a staking platform that enables the launch of Ethereum 2.0, which uses a participation proof mechanism. As such, the two platforms will be closely connected: „Ethereum 2.0 will return to Ethereum 1.0 and finalise the blocks there, allowing for greater safety and production of block problems in Ethereum 1.0,“ says Joseph Lubin, Ethereum developer at Consensys.

Lubin also mentioned that Ethereum 2.0 will be Ethereum 1.0’s „largest and most sophisticated DeFi application“, a recent interview here at Cointelegraph.
In addition, Ethereum 2.0 will provide features such as greater scalability, throughput and security for Ethereum’s core public network, all absent from Ethereum 1.0. The long-awaited beacon chain will serve as the backbone of Ethereum 2.0.

Therefore, the two networks will coexist at the same time and one does not exclude the other, as some had imagined.

The impact on the ecosystem

With the launch of ETH 2.0 (among other improvements), we will see the ETH drastically increase its rate/adoption binomial and, therefore, its commercial and consumption viability. High gas rates, high transaction costs, long wait on dApps: all this must be corrected, even in a busy market. Therefore, the adoption of the DeFi protocols will be favored by the adoption of ETH 2.0.

As Ethereum’s network, processes, and scalability increase, according to the Metcalfe Law, there will be a gain in value for Ether as its network spreads and becomes more robust and richer in terms of companies and value generation.

According to the concept of the Metcalfe Act, which is currently applied to telecommunications networks, the value of a network is measured by its ability to create nodes, and can also be applied to blockchain networks such as the Ethereum.

Simply put, the greater the actual demand to use the system, the more the price goes up, because there is an underlying real value being created for the user.
Using Metcalfe’s Law as a parameter, taking into account the value of a network is the sum of the square of its number of users, the Ethereum network which is conceptually a large distributed computer will gain scale with the upgrade and its impact on price can also be felt directly on its value. As already studied by several research houses.

If we analyze this whole context for the bias of financial speculation, Ether may be at its best purchase price, with a potential tendency to appreciate at least twice its current value.

However, it is important to note that this is not a recommendation to buy, but rather an indication of a trend.